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Thinking Ahead: Anticipating an HINI Swine Flue Pandemic


Stephen Aldrich, President, bio-era, is the founder of bio-era, and a business and strategy analyst with extensive experience in scenario planning applications to pandemic preparedness. Steve is an authority on applying scenario planning to business decision-making. He has worked closely with many companies and institutions on their pandemic plans and is the author or co-author of numerous bio-era reports on emerging infectious disease and pandemic impacts, including “Thinking Ahead: The Business Significance of Avian Influenza”, and “Thinking Ahead: Using Scenarios in Pandemic Preparedness”.

Dr. William Karesh, D.V.M., Vice President, Wildlife Conservation Society, is one of the world’s leading authorities on zoonotic disease emergence, the principal administrator of the Global Avian Influenza Network Surveillance program (GAINS), and the originator of the WCS, “One World, One Health”TM initiative. Dr. Karesh is also the author of the book Appointments at the End of the World, and Co-Chair of the IUCN SSC Veterinary Specialist Group.

Philip Alcabes, Associate Professor, Hunter College’s School of Health Sciences, is the author of Dread: How Fear and Fantasy Have Fueled Epidemics from the Black Death to Avian Flu, published by Public Affairs Books. He is a skeptical scientist whose work challenges the conventional wisdom about health, disease, and risk. Alcabes was trained as an infectious-disease epidemiologist and studied epidemic contagion, especially AIDS and tuberculosis, for two decades. Drawing on his experience as an epidemiologist, he examines the history of disease control and the ethics of public-health policy making from a scientist’s perspective. Among his essays on epidemic history and society’s responses to contagion are “The Bioterrorism Scare,” “The Ordinariness of AIDS,” “What Ails Public Health?,” and “Heart of Darkness: AIDS, Africa, and Race.”

David Vidal, Vice President, Corporate Social Responsibility, The Conference Board, has led the Conference Board’s efforts to better understand the implications of pandemic influenza for large corporations, and is the principal author of the action report, “Are Businesses Doing Enough to Prepare for a Pandemic.” David has held a number of positions at the Council on Foreign Relations, The Partnership for New York City, the U.S. Department of State, The New York Times, and The Associated Press. Vidal is a Fellow of the Royal Society for the Encouragement of the Arts, Manufactures & Commerce, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a Fulbright Scholar, and a White House Fellow.